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AI Haves and Have Nots

AI Haves and Have Nots
PRICE SNAPSHOT
(7 Day Change as of July 31, 2025 3:15PM ET)
Bitcoin Price: $117,269  (1.78%)
DeFi Total-Value-Locked: $140.3B 1.52%
Ethereum Price: $3,755  0.12%
Crypto Market Cap: $3.84T (1.03%)
Bitcoin Range: $114,972 - $119,398
TKN.U Close: $20.48 (as at July 30, 2025)
Ethereum Range: $3,586 - $3,937
TKN.U NAV: $20.48
Bitcoin Dominance: 60.90% 0.00%
TKN.U Discount: 0.00%
STORY OF THE WEEK
AI Haves and Have Nots
By:  Alex TapscottManaging Director of the Ninepoint Digital Asset Group, a division of Ninepoint Partners, and Portfolio Manager of the  Ninepoint Crypto and AI Leaders ETF  at Ninepoint Partners

Since the start of the year, Big Tech has shed over 100,000 jobs. Sure, some of these layoffs are just standard corporate belt tightening, but it is now clear that AI is impacting the job market, and entry and mid-level workers are being hit the hardest.

This underscores a defining question of our time: Will AI lead to widespread unemployment, or will it create new opportunities and industries that we can’t yet imagine? So far at least, AI is displacing jobs faster than new ones are being created.

The displacement of workers through automation is nothing new. Emerging technologies upend legacy companies and industries, and usher in new organizations with better jobs with higher pay. It's a cycle that's been dubbed "creative destruction" by economist Joseph Schumpeter.

Throughout history, that has meant short-term pain for long-term gain — at least for some.

On the one hand, the automobile put farriers and stage-coach drivers out of business but created millions of good-paying jobs for automotive assembly workers and delivery truck drivers.

On the other, the internet replaced many department store clerks, travel agents, taxi drivers and journalists with Amazon fulfillment centre workers, Uber drivers, content creators, and others who often work more hours for less pay with fewer benefits. And in the Rust Belt and factory towns across the Western world, automation has eliminated countless workers with no obvious replacement in sight.

The disruption from AI could make this look like kids’ stuff. Historically technology has automated workers at the periphery— those with low skills that can easily be substituted. AI will automate everything, everywhere, all at once, displacing knowledge workers and managers in every industry.

Ironically, tradespeople like welders, electricians, plumbers and carpenters who were told ‘learn to code’ may be the last to get automated away. Already, engineers at Amazon are complaining that their role has been degraded as they’re asked to do more with AI. 

There is an added concern that AI will kill many careers before they begin. In a recent interview with Axios, Dario Amodei, CEO of AI darling Anthropic, said AI could wipe out half of all entry-level white-collar jobs — and spike unemployment to 10-20% in the next one to five years.

A LinkedIn executive echoed this sentiment in a recent New York Times essay with the alarming title, “The bottom rung of the career ladder is breaking,” citing at-risk entry level jobs like paralegal and call center operator.

Tech CEOs seem unfussed by the potential of a looming cataclysm — if anything they’re doing what they can to usher it in.

Mark Zuckerberg told Joe Rogan earlier this year that AI will replace most of Meta’s mid-level engineers. Microsoft CEO Satya Nadella said last year that AI already writes 30% of the company’s code. In the last few months, Microsoft has fired more than 15,000 people. Shareholders are rewarding executives that adopt AI and slash headcount: Microsoft’s stock just hit an all time high.

Not all tech workers are suffering. In fact, a few super-engineers are reaping unprecedented windfalls from the AI revolution, commanding pay packages of hundreds of millions of dollars in cash and stock that would make hedge fund managers or superstar athletes blush.

As he’s musing about mass cuts to his workforce to Joe Rogan, Zuckerberg is also poaching the top AI minds from competitors like Open AI and Apple with eye-popping pay packages worth tens or even hundreds of millions of dollars. Former Apple executive Ruoming Pang was lured away from the smartphone maker with a pay package worth $200 million, triple what Apple CEO Tim Cook made in 2024!

Is AI exposing yet another fault line between haves and have-nots? Is this a harbinger of what we can come to expect from an AI economy? So far AI has created huge wealth for founders, investors and the top 0.01 percent of tech talent. But what about the rest of us?

This goes beyond business with implications for governments and society. President Trump initially rose to popularity by tapping into the anger and fears of an aging blue collar work force who felt left behind by globalization and automation, and he sustained his appeal by broadening his coalition to include a more diverse and younger part of the electorate, namely Gen Z men, who are among the most at-risk groups to be disintermediated by AI.

An economy where young people can’t find work could deepen Gen Z’s economic pessimism into existential nihilism.

Perhaps AI’s promise is fulfilled and its dark side unrequited. After all, technologies are always greeted with a mixture of hope, trepidation, and outright pessimism. Add "doomerism" to the lexicon for the AI age. Is this time different?

Ultimately, technology has no agency. It is not morally good or bad. It is a tool, created and wielded by people. Human beings learned to make fire, and cook food, stay warm and clear land for agriculture — or burn down a rival’s hut.
THIS WEEK ON DEFI DECODED
Join Andrew Young as he decodes the world of Web3 with special guest Ben Jacobs, Co-Founder and Managing Partner of Scenius Capital. Listen in as they discuss Ben’s background and crypto journey, the current state of the liquid crypto hedge fund universe, the rise of digital asset treasury companies and how they compare to traditional fund strategies, what’s going on in the crypto venture environment, how leading crypto fund managers are thinking about this phase of the market cycle, key crypto use cases on the horizon, how the industry will evolve over the next five years, and more.
WHAT'S NEW IN CRYPTO
By: Jake Moodie , Analyst, Digital Asset Group at Ninepoint Partners

Bitcoin and Ethereum are in the Midst of a Massive Supply Crunch as ETFs and Corporates Keep Buying

A few weeks ago, we broke down the wild demand-supply imbalance that’s happening with Bitcoin and Ethereum. Since then, it’s only ramped up, so an update was definitely needed. Starting with Bitcoin: its supply has grown by 95,000 BTC so far this year. In that same timeframe, ETFs have purchased 230,000 BTC, and public companies have added another 350,000 BTC. So, for every $1 of new BTC issued in 2025, ETFs and public companies have bought up roughly $6 worth. Now onto Ethereum, where the imbalance is even more extreme. ETH supply has increased by 235,000 ETH YTD. During that time, ETFs have bought 2.4 million ETH, while public companies have purchased 1.3 million ETH. For every $1 of new ETH issued in 2025, those two groups alone have purchased $16 worth. The ETH ETF flows lately have been nothing short of remarkable. In their first 11 months, ETH ETFs brought in $4 billion in net inflows. Then in their 12th month, they pulled in $4.9 billion. This uptick helped set another crypto ETF record last week: BlackRock’s Ethereum ETF (ETHA) became the third-fastest ETF in history to hit $10 billion in assets, reaching the milestone in just 251 trading days. The only two to get there faster? BlackRock’s Bitcoin ETF (IBIT) and Fidelity’s Bitcoin ETF (FBTC).

The Fortune 500 is Coming Onchain: JPMorgan, Interactive Brokers, Visa, PayPal, and Others Unveil New Crypto Initiatives

As has become the norm in 2025, this past week was packed with announcements from traditional enterprises diving deeper into crypto. The biggest, and maybe most surprising, news came from Coinbase and JPMorgan, who announced a strategic partnership giving the bank’s clients seamless access to the cryptoeconomy. Clients will be able to link their bank accounts to Coinbase wallets, fund accounts with bank-issued cards, and even convert reward points into crypto. While CEO Jamie Dimon has been a longtime crypto critic, the bank’s recent actions signal a clear pivot: it finally let clients buy Bitcoin in May, launched a deposit token on Base in June, and said earlier this month it plans to enter the stablecoin arena because it “can’t afford to be on the sidelines.” On that note, Interactive Brokers was reported to be exploring a stablecoin launch of its own. SoFi CEO Anthony Noto said during the company’s recent earnings call that a SoFi stablecoin is also on the roadmap, alongside upcoming crypto features like asset-backed lending and staking. As Noto put it, crypto is “a key area of focus” for the management team. Today, Visa shared that its settlement platform has expanded its support to include the USDG, PYUSD, and EURC stablecoins, and also the Stellar and Avalanche networks. eToro announced plans to tokenize U.S. equities on Ethereum, joining rivals like Robinhood and Kraken, who’ve already revealed similar tokenization initiatives. PayPal rolled out a new feature called Pay with Crypto to let merchants worldwide accept over 100 different cryptoassets at checkout. When a customer pays, the funds are instantly converted into fiat or PayPal’s PYUSD stablecoin and deposited into the merchant’s account. To say enterprise adoption is sizzling hot would be an understatement. Already, 60% of Fortune 500 companies are actively building in crypto, and one in five already considers it a core part of their future plans.
QUANTITATIVE ANALYSIS
Chart 1:  The Stablecoin Market Hits $250B: An Inside Look Under the Hood
The circulating supply of stablecoins just hit a major milestone: $250 billion. As one of crypto’s fastest-growing sectors, we provide a quick look under the hood of the stablecoin market. Stablecoin supply has grown 22x over the past five years, 55% year-over-year, and 24% year-to-date. Tether’s USDT, with a supply of $160 billion, and Circle’s USDC, with $62 billion, together account for roughly 90% of the market. Interestingly, USDC supply has grown nearly 3x faster than USDT so far this year, up 45% versus 17%. 55% of all stablecoins are hosted on Ethereum, 32% on Tron, and the remaining 13% spread across several other networks. Today, stablecoins settle about $3.1 trillion in monthly volume, far outpacing Visa’s and Mastercard’s 2024 monthly averages of $1.1 trillion and $816 billion. There are around 175 million stablecoin holders globally, with 38 million actively transacting with them every month. And collectively, stablecoin issuers now rank among the top 20 largest holders of U.S. government debt. So what’s the takeaway? Stablecoin adoption and growth is undeniable. If this momentum holds, the jump from billions to trillions won’t take long.
Chart 2:  Google Search Interest for Crypto Terms Point to a New Market Dynamic
We’ve shared this chart a few times now, it shows Bitcoin’s price action alongside Google search interest for crypto-related terms over the past five years. Two things stand out right away. The first is the clear difference between this bull market and the last one. Back in 2021, Bitcoin’s price and search interest were closely linked. When the price went up, interest spiked too, and when it dropped, so did the searches. The top of the market lined up with peak search scores, many of which hit or neared a score of 100. This cycle has played out differently. Bitcoin has steadily climbed higher, but search activity has stayed way below previous highs. That gap tells a story. It supports the idea that past crypto cycles were mostly driven by retail, as search scores are a solid proxy of their overall interest. But this cycle feels more institutional. Regulation is reducing blow-up risk, enterprise adoption is creating stronger network effects, and institutional capital is providing a more stable foundation. The asset class is maturing, and in all the right ways. The second takeaway is what’s happening right now: a noticeable surge in searches for stablecoins and altcoins. Stablecoins were the first to spike, following news around the GENIUS Act moving through Congress, Circle’s historic IPO, and a wave of traditional companies announcing plans to issue their own. That’s why many started calling this summer Stablecoin Summer. More recently, though, we’ve seen a big jump in searches for altcoins. This lines up with Bitcoin dominance falling from 65% to 60%, and Ethereum starting to outperform, leading many to believe that alt season may finally be coming. That kind of rotation has been a pattern in past bull markets. Yes, AI tools like ChatGPT are affecting how people search, but even with that in mind, search scores still provide a valuable signal worth monitoring.
COMMENTARY & INSIGHTS