The Ninepoint Cash Management Fund returned +0.21% (Series F) in December, bringing year-to-date performance to +2.90% (Series F).
NINEPOINT CASH MANAGEMENT FUND - COMPOUNDED RETURNS¹ (%) AS OF DECEMBER 31, 2025 (SERIES F NPP119) | INCEPTION DATE: AUGUST 6, 2010
1M |
YTD |
3M |
6M |
1YR |
3YR |
5YR |
10YR |
15YR |
INCEPTION |
|
FUND |
0.21% |
2.90% |
0.64% |
1.36% |
2.90% |
4.28% |
3.13% |
2.19% |
2.17% |
2.15% |
The Bank of Canada (BoC) is now firmly on hold, and we believe that it is very likely that the overnight rate (Figure 1), now at 2.25%, remains there for 2026. Why?
Inflation is around target, with more disinflation in the pipeline due to lower house prices and rents. The economy, which was very soft in 2025 due to the trade war with the U.S., is set to rebound, helped by some additional fiscal stimulus and a stabilization of the trade situation. In these circumstances, the output gap will slowly close, justifying a monetary policy stance that is about neutral (2.25% is the bottom end of their estimated neutral range). The main downside risk we see in 2026 for the Canadian economy is the USMCA renegotiation. If this goes poorly, we could see another negative growth shock hit the Canadian economy, likely prompting the BoC to ease further. This is a risk, and not our base case.
Throughout the fourth quarter of 2025, we have continued to add to NHA-MBS securities (government guaranteed AAA rated mortgage backed securities), and now stand at our maximum weight of 10%. Their slightly longer duration and attractive spread over government bonds allowed us to pick more yield as the market priced-in higher odds of rate hikes by the BoC in 2026 (we disagree with this assessment, but are happy to lock-in those higher rates).
In the same spirit, we have also added a few new high-quality corporate bonds and securitizations that mature in the summer and fall of 2026, to benefit from higher rates out of the curve.
Otherwise, we have been adding more to floating rate notes (FRN) issued by both Canadian banks and U.S. based insurance companies (all in Canadian dollars). Those have very high quality, while offering a nice yield pickup over the BoC’s overnight rate. The overall allocation of the fund to floating rate securities was 73% at year-end.
All these changes leave us in the enviable position of generating income well in excess of treasury bills (the 3-month T-bill rate was 2.20% at December 31, 2025) or the BoC’s overnight rate (2.25%).
Our goal remains the same: provide investors with the highest yield possible while managing the portfolio to extremely conservative guidelines.
Until next month,
Etienne & Nick