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Ninepoint Fixed Income 2026 Outlook

Fixed Income Outlook - 1.2026
Key Takeaways
  • BoC likely on hold: Interest rates may remain around 2.25% as inflation and growth stabilize.
  • Yield curve could re-steepen: The end of the rate-cut cycle increases the likelihood of a steeper yield curve.
  • Credit spreads look tight: With spreads near historic lows, the risk-reward for adding credit risk is unattractive.
  • Defensive positioning preferred: Focus remains on capital protection and patience while waiting for better fixed-income opportunities.

2026 Outlook

In this episode Portfolio Manager Etienne Bordeleau shares insights on his 2026 fixed income outlook, focusing on interest rates and credit risks.

Key Topics Covered:

  • The BoC is likely done with the rate cut cycle.
  • Expect a re-steepening of the yield curve as rates stabilize.
  • Credit spreads are at all-time tights, but wider spreads are expected in 2026.
  • M&A activity and AI investments will drive increased credit issuance.
  • Fixed income should focus on capital protection and generating acceptable returns.