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Ninepoint Fixed Income Outlook

Fixed Income Outlook - 4.2026 - video
Key Takeaways
  • Rising energy prices and elevated U.S. inflation may keep the Fed on hold for longer.
  • Canada’s weaker labour market gives the Bank of Canada more flexibility despite inflation concerns.
  • Record AI hyperscaler bond issuance is creating new opportunities — and potential pressure — in credit markets.

April 2026

In this month's Fixed Income video commentary preview, Vice President, Portfolio Manager Etienne Bordeleau shares his latest views on fixed income markets, including the impact of rising energy prices, elevated U.S. inflation, diverging central bank policy in Canada and the U.S., and the growing influence of AI hyperscaler bond issuance on credit markets.

Key Topics Covered:

  • Energy Price Shock – Iran conflict keeps pressure on energy prices.
  • Sticky U.S. Inflation – April CPI rose 3.8% year over year.
  • Fed on Hold – Elevated inflation limits near-term rate-cut flexibility.
  • BoC Stays Cautious – Weak labour market offsets energy-driven inflation concerns.
  • Policy Divergence – Canada’s weaker economy gives the BoC more room than the Fed.
  • AI Bond Supply Surge – Hyperscaler issuance is rising sharply in the U.S. and Canada.
  • Google’s Record Deal – Google issued C$8.5B, Canada’s largest bond deal ever.
  • Spread Pressure – Heavy IG issuance could push credit spreads wider.
  • Selective Positioning – The team remains active, but mindful of supply-driven risks.