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Ninepoint Fixed Income Outlook

Fixed Income Outlook - September 2026
Key Takeaways
  • Iran war is pushing oil prices higher, driving headline inflation concerns for central banks.
  • Inflation trends diverge between Canada and the US, with the BoC adopting a more hawkish stance in response.

September 2026

In this month's Fixed Income video commentary preview, Etienne Bordeleau discusses the current state of the fixed income market, focusing on inflation trends, central bank responses, and market dynamics. He highlights the ongoing war in Iran, rising oil prices, and the implications for inflation metrics in Canada and the US. The conversation also touches on the Bank of Canada's recent hawkish stance and the US Treasury's actions in the bond market, providing insights into future market expectations and investment strategies.

Key Topics Covered 

  • The war in Iran is impacting oil prices significantly.
  • Central bankers are increasingly concerned about headline inflation.
  • The breadth of inflation is a key metric being monitored.
  • There is a notable divergence in inflation trends between Canada and the US.
  • The Bank of Canada has adopted a more hawkish stance recently.
  • Market reactions to central bank communications can be volatile.
  • The US Treasury is actively managing long-term bond yields.
  • September is a crucial month for corporate bond issuance.
  • Investment strategies are becoming more selective in the current market.
  • Overall fund characteristics have not changed significantly.