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Ninepoint Energy Market Update

Ninepoint Energy Market Update - 6.03.2026
Key Takeaways
  • Global inventories are falling at roughly six to eight million barrels per day, with tank bottoms potentially weeks away.
  • Almost 200 million barrels of production have been forfeited in just the past two weeks, with total losses potentially reaching 1.995 billion barrels.
  • Energy equities are believed to be pricing oil in the high $60s to low $70s while WTI is currently trading at $95, a disconnect Eric sees as a significant opportunity.

June 03, 2026

In this week’s edition, Eric Nuttall, Senior Portfolio Manager of Ninepoint Energy Strategies, returns after two weeks away to provide an update on global oil markets and explain why he believes the situation is now being measured in weeks, not months or quarters.

Key Topics Covered:

  • Strait Disruption Continues – Vessel transits remain at roughly two to three ships per day versus a baseline of 40–45.
  • Global Inventories Falling– Stocks are declining at roughly six to eight million barrels per day across both visible and invisible inventory areas.
  • Sea Mines Confirmed – Secretary Rubio testified under oath that mines have been observed in the strait.
  • Maersk Avoiding the Strait – One of the world's largest shipping companies has stated it is avoiding the strait altogether.
  • Middle Eastern Production Curtailed – About 13 to 14 million barrels per day of Middle Eastern production has been curtailed.
  • Energy Equities – Eric believes stocks are currently pricing oil in the high $60s to low $70s, with WTI currently trading at $95, and sees a floor price of approximately $80 for next year.

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