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Ninepoint Energy Market Update

Ninepoint Energy Market Update - 6.17.2026
Key Takeaways
  • The oil selloff into the mid to low 70s is being driven by net speculative length being taken out, not a change in fundamentals.
  • The US SPR has roughly a month and a half left at current draw rates, with Cushing approaching tank bottoms.
  • Eric sees the roughly 10% selloff as an opportunity, with energy equities discounting roughly 60 to 65 dollars and an approximately $80 floor as the new normal.

June 17, 2026

In this week’s edition, Eric Nuttall, Senior Portfolio Manager of Ninepoint Energy Strategies, shares his observations following the recent oil selloff and explains why he believes the market remains too complacent about the supply situation.

Key Topics Covered:

  • Oil Selloff – Brent oil short interest is at a five-year high as oil sells off into the mid-to-low 70s.
  • MOU Details Awaited– Market awaiting details of the 14-point MOU; Iranian side released this morning.
  • SPR Running Low – US SPR has roughly a month and a half left with a 300-million-barrel floor at current draw rates of eight to nine million barrels per day.
  • Strait Still Closed – Little evidence of ships entering the Strait; 11 to 12 million barrels per day of curtailed production remains offline.
  • Energy Equities – Sector is discounting roughly 60 to 65 dollars; Eric sees an opportunity following the roughly 10% selloff from short-term highs.

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