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Ninepoint Energy Market Update

Ninepoint Energy Market Update -  9.17.2026
Key Takeaways
  • Houthis struck Saudi Arabia's east-west pipeline feeding Yanbu, the main workaround to the Strait closure, with estimates ranging from days to six weeks for full restoration, creating uncertainty around supply recovery timing.
  • Canadian federal tax changes including a mega deduction on upstream spending could generate approximately 7% additional cash flow at $70 oil, while US SPR sits at 285 million barrels with roughly 30 days of buffer remaining at current draw rates.

September 17, 2026

In this weekly update, Eric Nuttall discusses significant developments in the energy sector, including the impact of geopolitical events on oil prices, recent tax changes in Canada, rising fuel costs, and the potential political risks affecting the market. He emphasizes the importance of understanding these dynamics for investors and the implications for global oil inventories.

Key Topics Covered:

  • Oil prices are fluctuating due to geopolitical tensions.
  • Tax changes in Canada could significantly impact the energy sector.
  • Rising fuel costs are affecting various industries, including trucking and airlines.
  • Political risks are increasing as midterm elections approach in the US.
  • Global oil inventories are declining, raising concerns about supply.
  • The correlation between oil prices and oil stocks may start to break down.
  • Investors should be cautious of potential demand destruction due to high oil prices.
  • The US Strategic Petroleum Reserve is at critically low levels.
  • Market dynamics are shifting, requiring a reevaluation of investment strategies.
  • Defensive positioning in investment strategies is advisable given current risks.

Historical Commentary

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    In this week's edition, Eric Nuttall, Senior Portfolio Manager of Ninepoint Energy Strategies, explains why oil is now in excess of $100 for both Brent and WTI. With Strait of Hormuz exports at roughly 8 million barrels per day, Saudi Arabia announcing its lowest export levels since 1990, and President Trump acknowledging the war may continue until after the midterms in 55 days, Eric details why the market is finally reflecting the dangerous reality it's been facing for months.
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    In this week's edition, Eric Nuttall, Senior Portfolio Manager of Ninepoint Energy Strategies, returns to address the critical question: how does this end? With global oil inventories near record lows after absorbing 300 million barrels from strategic reserves, Middle Eastern production down 8 million barrels per day, and China beginning to return to the market, Eric explains why the oil market remains far more precarious than most understand.
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