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Ninepoint Energy Market Update

Ninepoint Energy Market Update - 5.14.2026
Key Takeaways
  • Supply risk remains high with the Strait largely closed and Middle Eastern output sharply reduced.
  • Shortages may be the catalyst as diesel, lubricant and aviation disruptions emerge.
  • Energy stocks may be underpricing risk if oil prices move higher.

May 14, 2026

In this week’s edition, Eric Nuttall, Senior Portfolio Manager of Ninepoint Energy Strategies, shares key takeaways from recent meetings in Houston and explains why he believes global oil markets may be approaching a critical tipping point.

Key Topics Covered:

  • Strait Disruption Continues – Middle Eastern production losses remain significant.
  • Product Shortages Emerging – Diesel, lubricants and aviation disruptions may signal tightening markets.
  • Oil Price Risk Rising – Analysts are beginning to raise price expectations.
  • Canadian Energy Policy – Alberta-federal negotiations, carbon costs and pipeline capacity remain in focus.
  • US Shale Response Limited – Houston meetings suggest only modest future growth.
  • Middle East Capacity Risk – Forced shut-ins could reduce productive capacity.
  • Export Ban Risk – US refined product restrictions remain a risk to monitor.
  • Energy Equity Opportunity – Eric sees meaningful upside potential in oil stocks.

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